Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000124 0.000132 0.000140 0.000150 0.000161 0.000172 0.000186
2024-12-15 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000149 0.000167 0.000188 0.000214
2024-12-22 0.000103 0.000116 0.000131 0.000150 0.000174 0.000203 0.000245
2024-12-29 0.000098 0.000112 0.000130 0.000153 0.000183 0.000223 0.000282
2025-01-05 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000149 0.000183 0.000229 0.000302
2025-01-12 0.000085 0.000099 0.000118 0.000143 0.000178 0.000229 0.000311
2025-01-19 0.000080 0.000094 0.000113 0.000139 0.000176 0.000230 0.000324
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000088 0.000106 0.000132 0.000169 0.000224 0.000322
2025-02-02 0.000072 0.000087 0.000105 0.000133 0.000173 0.000236 0.000354
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000086 0.000106 0.000135 0.000181 0.000254 0.000399
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000085 0.000106 0.000138 0.000187 0.000271 0.000449
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000087 0.000110 0.000145 0.000203 0.000306 0.000546
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000084 0.000107 0.000144 0.000205 0.000317 0.000599
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000082 0.000105 0.000141 0.000205 0.000327 0.000651
2025-03-16 0.000064 0.000080 0.000103 0.000142 0.000210 0.000345 0.000739
2025-03-23 0.000063 0.000079 0.000104 0.000144 0.000219 0.000376 0.000888
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000077 0.000101 0.000141 0.000216 0.000378 0.000942
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000073 0.000096 0.000136 0.000209 0.000370 0.000944
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000131 0.000204 0.000366 0.000970
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000067 0.000088 0.000125 0.000194 0.000349 0.000926
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000066 0.000088 0.000126 0.000199 0.000369 0.001073
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000128 0.000208 0.000401 0.001327
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000131 0.000215 0.000434 0.001658